Foundation

Men’s NCAA Qualifying: Has It Become Harder?

12/2/2013

BY KATIE ARNOLD//HIGH PERFORMANCE CONSULTANT

Last week I looked at the progression of qualifying times for the women’s NCAA championship. The research found that the change in selection procedures from 2012 to 2013 did not have a significant impact on selection times for most individual events. This week I will repeat the same process for the men’s meet to find out if there has been any significant impact since the new selection procedures were introduced.

 

Men  2011  2012  2013 

500 Free

200 IM

50 Free 

4:19.08

1:45.37

19.69 

4:18.65

1:45.00

19.62 

4:18.70

1:45.08

19.67 

400 IM

100 Fly

200 Free

100 Breast

100 Back 

3:47.68

46.74

1:35.41

53.47

47.05 

3:47.38

46.75

1:35.30

53.21

47.00 

3:46.72

46.74

1:35.34

53.37

46.95 

1650 Free

200 Back

100 Free

200 Breast

200 Fly 

15:05.98

1:43.77

43.24

1:56.19

1:44.97 

15:02.91

1:42.99

43.11

1:55.96

1:44.59 

15:03.07

1:43.03

43.14

1:55.97

1:44.74 

 

Important Notes:

  1. If we define a significant change as more than .1 seconds per 50, the only events that demonstrated any significant change were the 400 IM, 100 breast and 200 back. Of those events, only the 400 IM was fastest in 2013.
  2. Only the 400 IM and the 100 back have gotten faster each year during the defined period.
  3. More than 75% of events (10 out of 13) were slower from 2012 to 2013.

As was the case with the women’s championship, there is no evidence to support the idea that selections have become more or less difficult. While the men’s meet went from selecting the top 17-18 per event in 2012 to the top 29 in 2013, the times have remained relatively unchanged in most events. For both men and women, the change in selection procedure has not made it more or less difficult to qualify for the championships; it has simply allowed more individuals to qualify. The only thing these numbers suggest is that the overall depth for both men and women has improved.


ArenaATTBMWCeraVeMarriottMutual of OmahaMyrtha PoolsOmegaPhillips 66SpeedoTYRUniversal Sports